Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.253494 0.292674 0.335581 0.386015 0.443631 0.507358 0.583145
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.188029 0.239460 0.301130 0.380344 0.479204 0.598322 0.752543
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.154240 0.212627 0.287931 0.391757 0.530735 0.709845 0.957640
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.130704 0.192640 0.277568 0.401802 0.578055 0.818168 1.168940
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.114219 0.178443 0.271318 0.414305 0.627558 0.932192 1.398323
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.101634 0.167298 0.266880 0.427335 0.677471 1.050062 1.643859
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.086310 0.149249 0.249062 0.416895 0.689560 1.111798 1.810552
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.074328 0.134575 0.234171 0.408389 0.702416 1.174291 1.982614
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.067984 0.128351 0.231988 0.419880 0.748077 1.291982 2.252986
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.064773 0.127095 0.237860 0.445365 0.819364 1.457543 2.617224
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.059558 0.121364 0.235007 0.454818 0.863273 1.580275 2.919079
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.053893 0.113946 0.228072 0.455774 0.891564 1.677747 3.184615
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.048370 0.106161 0.219717 0.453478 0.914335 1.768822 3.449995
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043173 0.098317 0.210292 0.447993 0.930432 1.849188 3.703457
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040520 0.095476 0.210504 0.461684 0.985245 2.007006 4.117678
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.037954 0.092448 0.209916 0.473540 1.037368 2.163961 4.543819
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035872 0.090204 0.210672 0.488197 1.096499 2.339513 5.021643
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.034008 0.088202 0.211688 0.503444 1.158235 2.525394 5.536104
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.030356 0.081354 0.200972 0.491239 1.159132 2.585629 5.794938
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.027273 0.075468 0.191738 0.481291 1.163819 2.653856 6.075981
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.025933 0.073861 0.192449 0.494732 1.222836 2.843793 6.635743
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.025602 0.074874 0.199646 0.524527 1.322639 3.131382 7.433963
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.024254 0.072935 0.199251 0.535577 1.379032 3.326456 8.040471